Who Is Ahead in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District? New York Times (Online) Election date: Nov. 3 Caroline Soler Polling researcher Republicans are entering the 2026 midterms with a 218-214 majority in the House, with two seats currently vacant and one independent. All 435 seats are up for election, and with maps impacted by redistricting, the Cook Political Report rates about 50 of these districts as tossups or leaning toward one party. To retake the majority , Democrats would most likely need to hold all of their solid and likely seats and either win most of the districts leaning in their favor, flip toss-up seats, or do both. Source: Polls collected by The New York Times. To suggest a poll, or report a possible error, contact polls@nytimes.com . Pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria below are considered “select pollsters” by The Times, as long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Has a track record of accuracy in recent elections Is a member of a professional polling organization Conducts probability-based sampling Polls that were conducted by or for partisan organizations are labeled, as they often release results that are favorable only to their causes. Margins are calculated using unrounded vote shares when available. The Times conducts its own national and state polls in partnership with Siena University. Follow Times/Siena polling here . Unless otherwise noted, the data sets that power this project are created by The New York Times and are available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license. Use of these data sets is subject to the terms and conditions of this license, including but not limited to the attribution requirements. These data sets are offered as-is and as-available, and The Times does not make any representations or warranties, express or implied, concerning these data sets. If you are migrating from the FiveThirtyEight dataset, you can see known differences documented here . Presidential approval polls, Jan. 20, 2025, to present: Download Presidential approval averages, Jan. 20, 2025, to present: Download Presidential polls, 2028 cycle: Download Senate polls, 2026 cycle: Download House polls, 2026 cycle: Download Governor polls, 2026 cycle: Download Other offices, 2026 cycle: Download By Michael Andre, Laura Bejder, Irineo Cabreros, Annie Daniel, Andrew Fischer, Kaden Fuller, Martín González Gómez, Jon Huang, Ruth Igielnik, Jasmine C. Lee, Jenni Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Katherine Oung, Evan Peng, Katherine Perry, Evan Reynolds, Dan Simmons-Ritchie, Jonah Smith, Caroline Soler and Eve Washington.